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Financial Markets 07/08 09:29
Oil prices are rising, and stock markets are falling worldwide Wednesday
after President Donald Trump raised doubts about the temporary truce in the war
with Iran.
NEW YORK (AP) -- Oil prices are rising, and stock markets are falling
worldwide Wednesday after President Donald Trump raised doubts about the
temporary truce in the war with Iran.
The S&P 500 fell 0.5% after Trump said the agreement to pause fighting was
"over," though he added that he would allow negotiations to continue. The Dow
Jones Industrial Average was down 550 points, or 1%, as of 10 a.m. Eastern
time, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.2% lower.
The action was stronger in the oil market, where the price for a barrel of
Brent crude climbed 4.8% to $77.74 after briefly topping $79 in the morning.
That's still well below its peak from earlier in the war, when the price for
the most actively traded contract reached nearly $120. But the jump is
unsettling because oil prices had just dropped back to where they were before
the war.
The worry is that a continuation of the war will block the Strait of Hormuz
and keep oil tankers bottled up in the Persian Gulf instead of delivering crude
to customers worldwide. That could worsen inflation, which economists expected
would ease with oil prices, and in turn force the Federal Reserve and other
central banks to raise interest rates.
Higher rates can keep a lid on inflation, but they also slow the economy and
hurt prices for all kinds of investments.
Stock markets in Europe turned lower, and oil prices climbed immediately
after Trump said, "For me, I think it's over" about the status of the
ceasefire. He added that U.S. representatives can continue negotiations, but he
cast doubt on the outcome. "They can talk, but I think they're wasting their
time," he said.
Trump later said the United States was preparing for another night of
strikes against Iran.
On Wall Street, companies with big fuel bills fell to some of the biggest
losses. American Airlines lost 3.4%, and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings fell
2.4%.
Stocks of companies in the housing industry were also particularly weak.
They were hurt by worries that rising Treasury yields in the bond market would
lead to higher rates for mortgages and chill the industry.
Builders FirstSource, which sells counters, windows and other building
supplies, fell 5.2% for one of the sharper losses in the S&P 500. Homebuilders
PulteGroup fell 3.8%, and D.R. Horton sank 3.6%.
Helping to offset those losses was a steadying for some influential stocks
in the artificial-intelligence industry. They've been under pressure in recent
weeks on worries that their prices shot too high and that AI may not produce
enough productivity and profits to make all the investments in chips and data
centers worth it.
Their swings carry a lot of weight on Wall Street because AI stocks have
grown into some of the U.S. market's biggest, which gives their movements more
effect on the S&P 500 than other stocks.
Nvidia rose a modest 0.3%, for example, but it was still the third-strongest
force pushing upward on the S&P 500 because of its status as the largest stock
on Wall Street.
The biggest push upward came from Broadcom, which rose 4%. Apple announced a
multiyear commitment with Broadcom to design and produce custom components for
its products. Apple said the agreement's value could top $30 billion.
In the bond market, Treasury yields rose with the price of oil. The yield on
the 10-year Treasury rose to 4.58% from 4.55% late Tuesday and from just 3.97%
before the war with Iran began.
In stock markets abroad, losses for European markets worsened after Trump
made his comments, and Germany's DAX lost 1.6%.
In Asia, South Korea's Kospi dropped 5.3% and continued its sharp swings
amid dueling worries and euphoria about the AI stocks that dominate its market.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng index was an outlier and rose 3%.
Shares that trade in Hong Kong of Chinese AI startup Zhipu, known also as
Z.ai and traded as Knowledge Atlas Technology, jumped 13.4%.
A six-month lock-up period for "cornerstone" investors following its January
trading debut in Hong Kong expires this week. China National Radio reported
late Tuesday that nearly 70% of Zhipu's cornerstone investors are committed to
stay on, despite previous worries that the lock-up period expiration could
trigger a sell-off.
Zhipu's share price has risen more than 1,300% since its debut.
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AP Business Writers Matt Ott, Chan Ho-him and Elaine Kurtenbach contributed
to this report.
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